About that new (((NBC))) +5 Clinton poll

>Clinton starts bombing in all polls
>SOMETHING must be done
>(((NBC))) runs a scientific online poll
>SCIENTIFIC
>ONLINE
>ONLY for people who use "Survey Monkey"
>WhatTheFuckIsSurveyMonkey.png
>Oversamples dems
>Clinton is +5

See there goys, no funny business here. Clinton is doing just fine :^)

>pic related sources
nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/hillary-clinton-regains-momentum-against-donald-trump-poll-n650926

scribd.com/document/324571615/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Toplines-and-Methodology-9-12-9-18

Other urls found in this thread:

youtube.com/watch?v=72Nadeovs4c&feature=youtu.be
nbcnews.com/news/us-news/why-nbc-news-surveymonkey-poll-now-tracks-likely-voters-n650936
theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/09/13/new-york-times-continues-trying-to-quantify-the-looming-2016-election-possibility-of-the-monster-vote/
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/clinton_favorableunfavorable-1131.html#!
gallup.com/poll/188096/democratic-republican-identification-near-historical-lows.aspx
twitter.com/NSFWRedditGif

but democrats outnumber republicans in general. wouldn't it make sense to poll slightly more democrats?

This poll has 6% more democrats than republicans.
According to Gallup, there are only 3% more democrats.

Also, voter enthusiasm is higher among the Trump side (and based on turnout numbers), so it's safe to assume that on election day we will see about as many republicans as we see democrats.

I guess she just "powered though" her most recent PR meltdown despite having no public appearances since her latest 3 consecutive gaffes.

Jews
youtube.com/watch?v=72Nadeovs4c&feature=youtu.be

28.84% Republican
34.53% Democrat
36.63% Independent

Is this accurate weighting?

Indeed, and I'm sure their explanation for using 6% instead of 3% is in their new "LIKELY voter methodology" they've switched to.

>pic and link related

nbcnews.com/news/us-news/why-nbc-news-surveymonkey-poll-now-tracks-likely-voters-n650936

These idiots here can't understand that.

holy crap its the ctr serb proxy at it again

thanks for correcting the record

Nice argument.

Not quite. Democrats outnumber Republicans by about 4% in actuality, but 6% in the survey. Also, that's not taking into account the fact that independents are more likely to vote Republican.

They're still OVERsampling dems, and that's the point.

It's also a fucking ONLINE poll, care to argue how scientific that is?

>nice argument

still working for ctr though right?

>online poll on liberal biased website doesn't show Clinton demolishing Trump
He's actually beating her.

THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS "OVERSAMPLING DEMOCRATS" YOU FAGGOT.

WHO WON THE LAST 2 ELECTIONS? A DEMOCRAT.

YOUR COUNTRY IS 60% WHITE FOR FUCK SAKE.

WHITE PEOPLE ARE 60% REPUBLICANS 40% DEMS, NIGGERS ARE 95% DEMS AND HISPANICS THIS YEAR ARE 70%+ DEMS.

THEY ARE NOT OVERSAMPLING THEM YOU FUCK. THERE ARE MORE DEMOCRATS THAN REPUBLICANS IN YOUR COUNTRY.

Never worked there. Still, no arguments at all except screaming "ctr!!! ctr is here!!!111

>THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS "OVERSAMPLING DEMOCRATS"

He doesn't work for CTR, he works for NBC.

So internet juggernaught 1.4 billion hits a month Drudge Report gets about 200,000 in a poll.

Random site Ive never heard of manages to get 10,000 including allegedly accurate party affiliation.

Stay mad faggot. A fucking nigger won the election TWICE in your country because minorities pushed him.

Hispanics are voting 65-70% for Hillary, niggers are between 90-95% and whites are for Trump about 53-58%.

There are more democrats because you are a diverse and multicultural country(and add all liberal whites and college students).

confirmed for ctr

whats wrong you seem so buttblasted, not making your shill quota for the day? not "convincing" enough people? too much damage to control?

why do you work for shut a shit company? you realize they are being investigated for money laundering right? you could be arrested as an accomplice

>THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS "OVERSAMPLING DEMOCRATS" YOU FAGGOT.
Stopped reading there, take this (you) to the bank.

Is it that hard for you faggots to accept Trump is losing?

This is exactly the kind of shit Sanders supporters were saying.

no he works for ctr
its the same damn serb proxy they have been using since they started. by law he cant actually deny working for them so its always deflection, never denial

>WHO WON THE LAST 2 ELECTIONS?
Who has control of the house and senate? By your logic must surely be democrats.

>THERE ARE MORE DEMOCRATS THAN REPUBLICANS IN YOUR COUNTRY
Not saying that isn't so, but failing to take into account things like voter turnout or voter enthusiasm is the only way to produce such bias results as a +5 Clinton survey when literally fucking everyone else is showing the race a dead heat (and many of those polls are "rigged" as well to produce a more "acceptable" result for Clinton).

In this election cycle Republican voter turnout has been surging, Democrat voter turnout has been plummeting. For (((NBC))) to ignore these factors is comical.

How convenient (((NBC))) swoops in to produce an oversampled dem ONLINE poll to attempt to stop the bleeding.

Attempt.

Blumenthal, Clinton, Cohen... Weww

Most people identify Independent. R and D are equal

Oh i am going to shitpost so hard when he loses(and many people from other boards too) that you will fucking kill yourself after his defeat.

You are more delusional then Bernie supporters which is really sad but i assume that many of you are from /r/eddit. You will all either commit suicide or go back where you came from.

I can' wait for November 8th.

no im 100% right you shill faggot you work for ctr without question
what some niggers will do for a shit pay check

we learned your tricks months ago. you dumbasses have no power here

>ITS HER TURN!!!!

I'm just surprised that Cred Forums hasn't made a bunch of SurveyMonkey accounts in the past to rig the shit out of it and prove how retrded online polling is.

Might as well use a fucking strawme

>Who has control of the house and senate? By your logic must surely be democrats.

Because niggers and hipster dude weed lmao youth are lazy faggots that do not vote in midterm elections.

Also there were riots all over USA in 2014 and niggers didn't care about fucking elections.

What happened to you, serbia? You used to be a cool kebab remover but now you take a couple of cents to shitpost on a sri lankan intercopper-wired stool launching forum.

Thanks for this, i am definitely screencapping this delusion and adding it to my collage.

You probably watch Alex Jones and read Breitbart too.

its not serbia, its one of the ctr proxies that have been in use since they started. they are too fucking dumb to change the proxy

>mfw I did all the signage for the survey monkey headquarters

another deflection

hmmmmm and im the one thats delusional. god you fags are so easy to spot. maybe they should screen out some of the dumb fucks before hiring

you are in every fucking thread about hillary and polls. every single one. almost like you are being paid to shill...hmmmmmmmmmmm

you're not even american, why the fuck do you care so much? geez, get a life. who cares

I like how you haven't even attempted to defend the validity of an online poll because you know you can't.

>Clinton barely holding audiences of 100 at any of her events
>Trump literally brings in thousands everywhere he goes, regardless if it is a red or blue city

Trump is going to win in a landslide come election day unless Hillary literally cheats.

he is american. its ctr's proxy

SurveyMonkey I believe was the polling company that had Remain 10 points ahead on the 23rd of June
Paid shills, they're not even a reputable company.

>Oversample Dem's
>Way undersample R's

>LOOK GUYS SHE'S STILL WINNING DRUMPF BTFO! #I'MWITHHER

nah, c'mon. i hope for him that this is no true

Don't kill yourself on November 8th. There will be a lot of us from Cred Forums Cred Forums and /qa/ that will shitpost here for a couple of days after he loses.

Don't hurt yourself after that annoying orange loses, that is all i have to say.

I'm wrong it was a much smaller lead but they're not listed on any aggregate because they are not reliable whatsoever.

Shut up Shitalian faggot. US politics matters to everyone because it affects entire world.

I don't want that orange retard to win and have access to all nuclear codes.

its true. same guy everytime.same writing pattern, same senseless shillary drivel

and anytime he is called out its 100% deflection. election laws here prevent him from denying working for ctr. so he has to deflect

You aren't helping prove you aren't CTR...

>prove

You think i care what some white trash from Alabama thinks? I have met a lot of you faggots that live on food stamps, no wonder you are voting for Trump.

They aren't reliable whatsoever, but this is what Trump is up against.
>pic related
>online poll is reliable enough for RCP average

It's all about them trying to stop the bleeding.

This

That's funny because Republicans maintained control of the House and gained control of the Senate in the 2012 election.

I like your trolling but you really need to get a proxy m8.

You are the worst Serb to ever exist.
I hope the other Serbs find out and disembowel you. (If you're even a Serb and not a CTR shill with a proxy)

I don't know what this means, but I know people that are in their late 20's who have never voted once during a general election, a couple dozen who have actually registered recently and are all voting for Donald Trump.

I think it is gonna be a blow-out because of the people who have given up on voting in general elections turning out to cast a vote for the Donald, more as a vote against the establishment and the system than a vote for the actual man and his plans.

shitposter-sensei, aren't you the guy who pretended to manage Breitbart's twitter?

Oh wait so you are Shill with a proxy. Ok then

Evend taking the most pessimistic projections, projections from primary turnout for each party show a Trump landslide. And that's pessimistic, it's going to be bigger. It's very clear if you understand, Trump is effectively creating a new party with a much larger umbrella than R or Ds

And i hope that ANTIFA founds people like you and beat the shit out of you.

I thought that Germans like you died long ago but i guess there are still some closet nazis that have to be removed.

Agree. Had a friend on kikebook share a "test" thing.
>go to Trumps page
>see how many of your friends "like" Trumps page
>53 for me
>Go to Hillarys page
>See how many of your friends "like" Hillarys page
>7 for me

I know its subjective data, but fuck for the life of me EVERYWHERE I look she has no fucking support. At the rallies, on kikebook, etc.

For God sakes plebs just read CTH every day and you'll understand the election on a God tier level , the higher ups in the Trump campaign do

theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/09/13/new-york-times-continues-trying-to-quantify-the-looming-2016-election-possibility-of-the-monster-vote/

A Serbian for a Clinton after what Bill did to Serbia? This has to be the weirdest proxy ever

ANTIFA is a german term. Germanfag detected, fucking communist

this fucking serb shill is so pathetic and annoying all god damn day he never stops.

checking these dubs

...

No its not you fucking medpack nigger.

ANTIFA is everywhere, even in California, around Bay area, there are a lot of ANTIFA members so fuck off faggot.

no, THIS is what he's up against
realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/clinton_favorableunfavorable-1131.html#!
when this number goes over 60, trump wins

>FOX NEWS has a -9 spread
>Even the Jew York Times has her at -17

FOX is a fucking wolf in sheeps clothing for normie republicans.

It's the Serb with the proclivity for political polls who happens to speak great English.

feelsgood.jpg

For me it's 23 for Trump and 2 for Clinton.

1 of which is a Leaf and the other is in New York.

The show must go on
I'm honestly getting really tired of this election

As well as ignoring the fact that most democrats are too lazy to pick their fat ass up and go vote

>13,230 likely voters
>4568 likely Democrats
>4846 Independent
>3816 likely Republicans

The NBC poll took a sample of 13,230 likely voters. This represents about 0.01% of the likely voter turnout in the 2016 race, based on the turnouts in 2008 and 2014, which is a perfectly reasonable sample size. However, the demographics are beyond fucked.

>NBC News poll, D-I-R split : 35 - 36 - 29
>Gallup 2015 poll, actual D-I-R split : 29 - 42 - 26
>Source : gallup.com/poll/188096/democratic-republican-identification-near-historical-lows.aspx


So let's break it down. Within a week of Donald Trump making significant gains in every other US presidential poll, NBC releases a poll which:
>Oversamples Democrats by 20.7%
>Oversamples Republicans by 11.5% and
>Undersamples Independents by 14.3%
And this miraculously puts Clinton back up by five points.

>Serb
>Knowing about ANTIFA in California
Thanks for proving you're a proxy shill

i don't understand

Bernie Bro here,

The bitch had to cheat to beat an "elderly jewish socialist". While he was holding rallies with tens of thousands of people, she could barely break triple digits. She won states with (((electronic voting machines))). She needed to rely on black votes in deep red southern states. She needed (((superdelegates))). She got so fucked over in the debates, that she broke her promise to do a California debate. George H.W. Bush is voting for her.

Gary Johnson and Jill Stein are getting 5%, thereby earning federal matching funds.

screencap this.

>online polls

LOL
OL
L

(You)

I wonder why they didn't poll a 4-way race.

Nice work. Hopefully normies will see the +5 and think something is up. Cause it fucking is.

FOX is "supposed" to be right leaning, yet they continuously shill against Trump yet prentend they can't stand Hillary at the same time. They even fired based Andrea Tantaros for being too pro Trump in the primaries.