Why is Hillary still leading over Trump?

I don't understand it. In the polls, Hillary still has a lead overall and it seems to be staying that way. Where are all of these Hillary supporters? Trump seems to provoke way more passion in his supporters, has way more people at his rallies, etc. Why is Hillary always on top in the national polls?

Other urls found in this thread:

onlinecourses.science.psu.edu/stat100/node/17
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
youtube.com/watch?v=f-JFQqoYw1A
twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/766246213079498752
washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/06/08/donald-trump-got-the-most-votes-in-gop-primary-history-a-historic-number-of-people-voted-against-him-too/
dailydot.com/layer8/number-of-executive-orders-per-president/
fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/every-presidents-executive-actions-in-one-chart/
people-press.org/files/2016/09/09-21-16-campaign-release.pdf
youtube.com/watch?v=_T8tMk-ZOx8
twitter.com/SFWRedditVideos

Alot of people are very reluctantly voting Hillary because TRUMP IS A RACIST

>implying Hillary isn't

Because as dumb as it is calling someone racist is incredibly powerful in politics.

>wow I surround myself with people like myself. Why do they all vote the same way??? Hurr

Why is Cred Forums full of retards? If you'd visit sonewhere different such as a cemetary one day you'd meet hundreds of Hillary voters.

CNN is using favorable polling methods to demoralize trump supporters so they just stay home.

Pollsters manipulate their models to show a Hillary lead.

ITS HER TURN SHITLORD!!

Most Hillary supporters are primarily Trump opposers.

>Where are all of these Hillary supporters?

In school, I guess?...

The fix is in.

I've met plenty of anti-trump but I've never met a single pro-hillary person except my 66 year old mother.

>thinking polls aren't rigged

C'mon man, they've been grooming that stupid cunt for the presidency since she was in high school. You believe anything the MSM is saying is true?

They're slowly turning on her and if she fucks up Monday night IN THE SLIGHTEST, Soros and the DNC will give the nod and MSM will hit her full force. They'll chuck 'ol crazyeyes to the curb.

Enter Michelle Obama to take the reins.

>he still thinks elections arent pre-determined.

This election cycle will redpill alot of people.

When you look at sources on half the polls they collect, they're taking them at liberal arts colleges.

Because Trump is retarded for one

>another black male president

Hillary supports are the silent majority

Lol it's too late to shoehorn another candidate into the DNC spot. The ballot deadline has been reached in more than half the country's states

you're an idiot. An absolute fucking idiot.

Every time Trump pulls ahead in the polls, they adjust the methodology and she magically pulls ahead in an instant. She never had gradual climbs like Trump does, just rockets back into the lead.

...

MSM is already turning on her, otherwise her collapse on 9/11 would never have been given a second of airtime.

The polls are rigged to shit.

Even in a fantasy world where polls are fairly conducted, why in God's cock would they be accurate for Trump supporters?

EVERYONE who supports Trump instinctively hides their power level by now. WE'VE ALL HEARD THE STORIES of what happens if you so much as wear a Trump hat in public. So when a Trump supporter gets an unsolicited call asking who they are voting for, 9 times out of 10 they are just going to hang up or say "I don't know who I am voting for". That leaves 1 in 10 who claim they are voting for Hillary (because they are turbocucks who have to lie in front of their shitlib wife who is in the same room if they ever want their penis touched again), OR have balls of steel and will say to a stranger, "I don't know who you are but yes, I live at this address and support Trump, please come burn my fucking house down".

Why perpetuate the pretense that these polls can be trusted? They aren't independently audited. They can simply make shit up and we're expected to take them at their word. If you trust these polls, you belong in a GOD DAMNED OVEN. Literally fuck your own face until you die.

The best indicator is OBVIOUSLY rally turnout - you know, that thing where people demonstrate they are capable of taking a shower and getting dressed and leaving the house, which ANYONE WHO WANTS TO FUCKING VOTE IS GOING TO HAVE TO DO.

EVERY. SINGLE. INDICATOR. points to Trump winning in a COLOSSAL FUCKING LANDSLIDE.

They bombard us with rigged poll results in a pathetic attempt to mass-gaslight us so when Hillary "wins", we won't question it. They WILL steal the election with closed-source electronic voting machines deployed nationwide; RIGHT NOW they are CONDITIONING YOU to accept it.

So tell me: When Hillary "wins", will you accept it as truth and go back to your slave life, you cowardly faggot? Or will you recognize it as THE FLASHPOINT and go forth and kill the enemies of light and truth in our midst once and for all?

Last NBC poll showing her with a 6pt lead used a +14 Dems population.

You'd flunk Statistics 101 if you turned that garbage in.

collusion

>has way more people at his rallies

Trump rallies are like going to the circus for some people Trump is the clown/ringmaster and if they get lucky maybe they get to to assault a protester.

Yeah, I saw a video made by a Jill supporter, the polls used as marker for the first debate were massively in favor of polling old Democrats in highly Clinton favored states.

And even so trump beats her in one of the polls

There you have it. Anti-Trump voting is the same as pro-Hillary voting in terms of action.

you believe polls.

Also most people are stupid.

cemetery?

>...so who are you voting for?
> What the fuck, Jeff!? My dad just died!

Pollsters like NBC use more Dem voters for their sample base. They admit that (in their small print).

Are you retarded? The pollsters come OUT of the colleges. They poll the public.

What, did you think Marquette and Quinnipiac were just polling their own students? If that was true Quinnipiac polls would have Hillary polling at 75+

You've never been to one. This is exactly oppsite of reality.

This is what you imagine a nd wish they were when spanking it to your grandma Hillary porn.

Dead voters Sweden. Voter fraud.

msm thinking about damage control from hill shill fallout. pretend they were against her from the start to save viewership. i could see this happening real soon

Simple.

Trump and his son opened their mouths again.

Plus you have Trump University coming back to haunt him, and now the perjury thing.

So now Clinton can hit him with both perjury and fraud accusations every time Trump accuses her of e-mail negligence.

Delet this

Hillary is a daughter of America and a national symbol

They don't even do that. Some of the polls used in these aggregated ones use fucking SurveyMonkey on the NBC or CNN homepage. Literal garbage tier as far as bias goes

The GOP would be destroying this election if they hadn't nominated a complete imbecile

How many people would they have to poll, for it to be somewhat accurate? 1000 doesnt really feel like enough.

Most people who vote and care about politics get 100% of their information from mainstream news shows and newspapers.

It is not

Yeah, CNN's numbers are tanking fast and they risk going bankrupt. They have to pull the plug soon.

But damage may take years to repair. If ever.

Refer to pic

Human brain stays in control of Lizard brain

1000 is more than enough IF YOU HAVE A REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE. These don't.

Go look up sample size error calculations to see how the math works but 1000 of a shit sample is no better than 10 because it's biased from the start

>EVERYONE who supports Trump instinctively hides their power level by now. WE'VE ALL HEARD THE STORIES of what happens if you so much as wear a Trump hat in public.

You aren't polled in public. You're called on the phone in almost all polls. So, unless you're Trump supporters are lying to pollsters(you aren't), you're an idiot.

> The best indicator is OBVIOUSLY rally turnout - you know, that thing where people demonstrate they are capable of taking a shower and getting dressed and leaving the house, which ANYONE WHO WANTS TO FUCKING VOTE IS GOING TO HAVE TO DO.

Oh, no it's not. Many losing candidates had huge rallies. Walter Mondale had 100k in Manhattan's Garment District and he's the poster boy for losing. Same with Romney, McCain, Perot, Gore, Dukakis...


> So tell me: When Hillary "wins", will you accept it as truth and go back to your slave life, you cowardly faggot? Or will you recognize it as THE FLASHPOINT and go forth and kill the enemies of light and truth in our midst once and for all?

Jesus Christ lmao. I don't know anyone that voted for Bush in 2000/2004 but he sure as shit won and I didn't chimp out about it. You're a moron and way too emotional lol.

1000 is about optimal for efficiency (cost and time to take the survey) and accurately. If it's too big of a sample it'll take too long to take, and then it won't be a "current" poll anymore.

>You've never been to one

There's this invention called the internet where I can watch video of Trumps shitshows

She's notttttttttt. Holy FUCK have you not been payong attention.

The polls are all taken by the liberal media and universities.

Theyre for propaganda purposes only

Remeber the Brexit

Because good guys always win. Trump is racist, and sexist. he can't win

Because more people want her to be president than Trump.

Only a white person would say this, no offense

Criminally underrated post

If Hillary tries to bring up any legal dirt, she would be fucking destroyed, and she knows it.

The percentages should be within 3% if they were reliable but like I said, it's biased anyway so it should be trashed.

Math:
onlinecourses.science.psu.edu/stat100/node/17

I have two friends that have been to 4 Trump rallies between them. One of them goes with his cousin(they live in VA and he's been there often, they go out of their way to attend them), the other lives in Ohio. Neither of them are voting for Trump. Both of them think his rallies are incredibly fun.

does anyone have the polls for the last few elections? i would love to see the Connections.

Yeah, (((WHY)))?

This.

I agree. desu

I suspect Trump's true level of support is actually worse than even the Liberal Media knows

They can't predict with any certainty how many Hispanics will become naturalized this election cycle, or how many Hispanic voters will vote for the first time this year

But they will almost certainly all vote against Trump

>EVERY. SINGLE. INDICATOR. points to Trump winning in a COLOSSAL FUCKING LANDSLIDE.

Laughing my ass off to be honest family. Do you seriously believe this?

>such as a cemetary.

Smooth user. Smooth.

You're mentallyHill, so can't blame them for lying to you.

...

TLDR: California all over again. Hispanic backlash against Republicans shuts them out, as a new Hispanic voting bloc is created.

See? pol agrees. lets drop all the trump support and get down to business.

Because you're a faggot NEET who won't vote
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
VOTE. NOW.

>You're called on the phone in almost all polls

This proves you didn't read my comment. Allow me to return the favor.

You are posting in a racist echo chamber.

Your board overwhelming supports Trump for that reason, but it pretends a multitude of others.

Your dialogues have no connection with current political opinion in reality.

Yeah, I guess you wish I was voting for Hillary, maybe your argument would have a leg to stand on...my state is blue. I'm voting for Mickey Mouse and then hitting the downballot.

Through the votes of poor white males alone?

You don't have the numbers.

>Your dialogues have no connection with current political opinion in reality.
Which must be why she's been dropping dramatically as of lately.

megamix version
youtube.com/watch?v=f-JFQqoYw1A

...

As someone with a very high level of education, the whole thing is a joke. How many of those post graduates do you think are nignogs with a degree in afroamerican studies? Or women with a degree in feminist intersectionality?

I'd suggest higher income, lower education white men would be far more intelligent on any IQ test than lower income, higher income blacks and women.

Around 2500 to 3000 people are needed for a nationally representative sample in the US

>she's been dropping dramatically as of lately

No, she is ahead.

Trump supporters, especially in blue states, will not openly admit they are voting for trump. They see him as the rational choice but view the media perception of trump having a negative public opinion of him. These people will vote trump and claim to their colleagues they voted hillary. Polling cannot predict these voters.

Chicago dude here. EVERYBODY has a fucking hillary sticker on their car. It makes me sick.

>(((polls)))
surely by now you know well enough to understand that polling is always propaganda and seldom reflects anything at all

it's especially bad here

Trump's real numbers are at least 5% over his poll numbers. A lot of people don't want to admit to supporting him given the way the media has gone after him

Do you not you colossal faggot? Democrat voter turnout is low and Hillary sure isn't bringing in strong voter enthusiasm.

After the DNC she was at 88% and Trump was at 12%. Now he's at 42% and she's at 56%. After the debates, and considering her health, chances are good that he will get ahead of her.

Didn't Bush lose the vote but win the college?

>In the polls

Hillary isn't leading shit.

Her camp manipulates poll data to make it appear like she is popular... she isn't.

She's just cheating, and manipulating the data.

>pic is why

actual split has independents at 40ish

>Your dialogues have no connection with current political opinion in reality.
do you really go on a Cred Forums board just to lecture people you don't agree with?

what a cunt

Trump will not win the college.

Why are you still paying attention to polls when

1) There's huge margins of error
2) People are fickle and will change in a day

she isnt though.

>look mom I posted it again

Can't wait for libshits mass suicide in November

I do. I don't mind your name-calling.

Just recognize yourself and your board for what you are.

Stop.

Because America is 1/3rd nonwhite and they vote for the democrat no matter what. And then there are plenty of cucks who vote against their race's own interests.

But the polls take demographic data and estimate turnout of each demographic based on previous elections. But here lies the issue: this election is not like previous ones. It's not like Obama vs Romney or Mccain or like Bush vs Gore or Clinton vs Dole. Trump might possibly be the first candidate to speak up for the disaffected white working class in decades. There is the potential for a HUGE monster vote that the polls simply cannot pick up, because there's no precedent for it.

You're ignoring all the people voting simply to stop Trump.

Because the silent majority is with her

Who do you think you're impressing Mr. Pseudo-intellectual?

My 40 year old mother is also Pro-Hillary same with her sisters and brother. They're annoying fucks I hope someday there all redpilled.

This.

Cred Forumscucks don't understand how big the "lesser of two evils" vote is.

>I do
as hobbies go you could do better i think

being an advocate for what you consider mainstream opinion is lame as fuck

All 10 of them. Those people are all talk. They'll stay home on election day.

Enjoy the red landslide in November ;)

There's still a large percentage of people self-reporting as "undecided" and certain polls have taken to just awarding those voters to whatever candidate they want to, or just splitting them at a random percentage. Reuters in particular was caught doing this months ago.

If they didn't do this the error margin of their poll would be very wide. Polls weren't very predictive in the primaries. And the pollsters are still in denial that they're probably not going to be of much utility for the rest of the General election either.

>he thinks he can appropriate our slang

you're the true cuck user

People are wanting hillary because they see her as the least evil of two evils. For me personally, Hillary is way more secretive and evil, she's cunning and conniving.

The evidence is mounting against Trump.

All those contracts he broke will come back up.

The Trump Foundation will come up.

Perjury will come up.

He's looking at bribery, fraud, misappropriation of charity funds, and perjury.

You still think he's a good guy?

For Clinton, it is Christmas.

half of the country supports trump faggot

If any of the representatives want to keep their jobs and not be lynched, they'll lean towards watching Clinton sink rather than sink with her

arguing this afternoon about the god emperor , defending his honor naturally , 'but he's racist' , i explain it out, the response i was met with 'ok, maybe he's not,but he SEEMS racist' , and that when it comes down to brass tacks is the liberal mindset, it's always feels over reals.

Fair enough. Consider my hobby suspended.

Continue to rail against DINDUS, Googles, THE JEWS, Ahmed, and etc.,

And continue to achieve no measurable effect in global events.

This. Calling someone racist just works.

You mean the basement communists like this:

>And continue to achieve no measurable effect in global events.
if that were true why post here? :^)

>says the increasingly nervous man for 47th time this year

It's funny you think anybody other than whiny libshit shills care about any of that

POLLS ARE PROPAGANDA YOU DINK

Considerably less than half

Ignorance and fallacious reasoning irritate me. I have a hard-on for Socrates.

But I won't.

>he thinks Cred Forums invented the term "cuck"

lel, kek, and jej

I thought Liberals were for the "common working man"?
Suddenly now, the non-college degree man is the enemy? A dumb racist character who likes Trump?

The polls are rigged. King Google allready said if the election matches the polls then the election isn't rigged.
The election will be rigged.
The evidence of a "hack" will be "leaked".
Chaos.
Currency reset.
Kikes consolidate more power and globalists try their final takeover.

>Ignorance and fallacious reasoning irritate me
jesus it's worse than i thought

grow up

Remember this tweet Cred Forums

twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/766246213079498752

This was a message to those of us with a bit of awareness. To me, it signals that his internal polling is drastically outperforming the (((public polls))), the same way leave outperformed the polls on referendum day. Because what else could it mean?

Don't worry lads, the god emperor's fine.

Seriously, how long do you guys think Trump will stay out of prison?

His own son hinted his tax records will cause him political trouble.

I wouldn't be shocked if he has committed tax evasion; in addition to perjury, fraud, bribery, and misappropriation of charity funds.

"Lock Hillary up"? Put Trump in with her.

>he thinks he'll get anywhere by using it

you're basically just patting yourself on the back at this point, cuck boy

evidence ? you mean baseless conjecture , clinton has a lot of that to throw around. when was trump in court to perjury himself? you know what perjury means?
the offense of willfully telling an untruth in a court after having taken an oath or affirmation.

or are you basing this on the 'no third option' shit? LOL if thats the case you are grasping at straws

Yes, the god-emperor will triumph!

It's all rigged.

I'm retarded

Yes, what a shock Republicans don't care about their candidate being a consummate criminal.

I don't care whether Hillary goes to jail or not, long as he goes in there with her.

There's only one explanation for these (obviously fraudulent) numbers, and that is (((the jews)))

Cred Forums in a nutshell though. That's all we ever do.

In a new deposition, Trump testified under oath about one thing. In a speech to his supporters, he talked about the same thing.....but he gave a different account.

Which means either he lied to his supporters....or he committed perjury.

It was regarding Bush accusing Trump of trying to BRIBE him so he could casino-gamble in Florida.

How low must your standards sink before you reject him?

I wouldn't be shocked if he lied under oath.

THANK YOU

The word intellectual doesn't mean JACK if you have degrees in gender studies and other grievance industries.

Major in History, Minor in Political Science.

>anti abortion
>anti weed
>anti welfare at all
>thinks minimum wage is too high (but also too low sometimes)
>wants to continue trickle down economics
>anti vaccine
>anti climate change belief
>anti science in general, replacing science with nationalism and capitalism


I know it's shocking to some of you who only care about muslims and mexicans and fighting over 1% of the money that is left over, but to some people these things I listed before are big decisions.

I just wish she was anti-TPP, then I'd maybe even vote for her.

It's not working juarez. You can't nitpick bullshit like that when Clinton has FBI investigations, extremely shady global contacts and a penchant for commanding extreme violence to pursue her personal goals

I live in south Texas, this fucking meme needs to stop

Legal hispanics fucking hate illegals, like really fucking hate them, they're all voting Trump, and we don't let our illegals vote, they might in Austin but Texas is too big for Austin to hold the whole state hostage like what happens in Illinois

The only place with a bunch of liberal trash spics is Cali and that was always going to be blue anyway

what are you saying exactly?

Ok I'm sorry if I seem retarded. I didn't go to college. I genuinely just don't get it.

So in the 2012 election, over 125 million people voted. I just don't get how asking 1000 people who they will vote for, gives any good idea. Especially when each state leans a different way, and demographics lead a different way. And also because most of it is done by calling through a landline and a lot of people don't even feel like answering.

I guess I don't understand the general concept. If you were to take 1000 random people out of a hat, you might get very different results each time.

I understand that statisticians have a lot of fancy mathematical formulas to explain why polling 1000 people gives you a good idea of how it accurately represents over 120 million people. But I just don't understand it.

lmfao

you should have gotten a degree in licking windows to round off your extensive and valuable education

jesus fucking christ

>I just wish she was anti-TPP

She is.

I mean, she is right now. I'm guessing she'll flip on that when it's politically savvy to do so.

You want to talk about a city holding a state hostage? Hi I'm from upstate new york

Youre on the right track. There are a disproportionate number of PhDs in Education. They hand them out like candy.

THANK GOD someone finally said it. Education doesn't mean shit. The liberal college/university system hand out degrees to Googles and women like beads at a Mardi Gras parade.

Colleges should be entirely beholden to the labor market not their own industries. A few great schools should have some fluff but if you want a degree in feminism you should have to pay out the ass for it with 0 subsidies available

Flooding this country with Muslim refugees is literally the biggest issue this election

If abortion and weed is more important to you than globalism then you are a fucking retard and shouldn't be allowed to vote

why is mark cuban such a huge fucking faggot

>>Flooding this country with Muslim refugees is literally the biggest issue this election

It's amazing what Cred Forumstards believe.

Thats going a bit far. America is huge and being charitable is good PR. We need refugees that can look good on TV and be indoctrinated to be used as sand "uncle toms"

Trump is a loud orange buffoon who has repeatedly advocated war crimes, a more aggressive foreign policy, expressed admiration for Stalin Lite (Putin), most of his non-poliocies are either blatently impossible (deporting 14 million illegals first year in office, not even if he suspended due process and opened concentration camps) or stupidly expensive and ineffective (the wall). Oh and he's pretty fucking racist, he thought he had to tell a room full of black people that Lincoln was a Republican, really?

Hillary is a moderately effective politician, but is dogged by the fact that the media has hated for the last 30+ years and she has the charisma of slice of white bread.

Old people and others who are susceptible to indoctrination.

Had lunch with my father today. When I explained how she misused her clearance and transmitted state secrets, he looked taken aback. He'd had a clearance in his youth.

First of all, he hadn't heard anything about it despite being glued to cable news whenever the local college station wasn't showing black and white movies.

Secondly, all he could verbally respond with is "That Trump's crazy with that border wall bullshit."

BREAK THE CONDITIONING is real. Rofl.

My grandfathers family is still up there. My dad took me out of school when I was a kid to drive up there from Boston to look at a car. We didn't visit my grandfather s side of the family.
Beautiful country.

Maybe to you, but not to most people. It is a big issue, but I'd say trickle down economics working THIS TIME and being anti vaccine and climate change is bigger issues than some muzzies getting in and maybe a few of those going crazy.

I'd rather not have any come in, I'm a leftist who wants no immigration from any potential risky areas, but I'll take some over the mass of regressive shit Trump and bible thumping Pence want to put in place. I feel illegals and muslims are more of a scapegoat for the real issues America has. They're real issues, but not in any way the biggest.

Are you completely ignorant of countries like Germany, France, and Sweden?

It will take a lot longer in the US, yes, but it will get there eventually if Hillary is allowed to make the rules

Well played, antipodean user. Well played.

>"Cematary"
What did he mean by this

You make me understand why Cred Forums hates us

>if Hillary is allowed to make the rules

Presidents aren't allowed to "make the rules," memecuck. There's this thing called checks and balances.

Hillary supporters are the silence majority, trump has the vocal minority.

Youre posting in a pro trump echo chamber; he doesn't have nearly as much support as you think and he isn't in a position to win the election.

No, there isn't. Not anymore.

>When I explained how she misused her clearance and transmitted state secrets
better tell the 8th congressional inquiry into e-mailgazi you have proof, because they're still looking

>I don't understand it. In the polls
Because she will be your next president.

Given that he never wrote "Cematary", it's difficult to say.

Polls are rigged.
We had the same shit with Brexit.

cool rebuttal buddy

umm nope, no mention of bribery , trump said if he wanted it , he would have gotten it. also if you want to go with the bribe naritive then you are saying that jeb bush accepted a bribe from trump

"The one guy that had some special interests that I know of that tried to get me to change my views on something—that was generous and gave me money—was Donald Trump,” Bush said.

trump had a fund raiser for bush, and the deal he wanted fell thru before it could happen because fields resigned

Lawyer: But you didn't change his mind about his anti-gaming stance, did you?

Trump: Well, I never really had that much of an opportunity because Fields resigned, telling me you could never get what we wanted done, only to do it for another company.

it's been like this the whole election, clinton is so fucking criminal and evil that they just try to drag everyone else down to her level because they know they can't boost her up, thats why the media always parrots the 'two most disliked candidates in history' , ignoring the record breaking support of trump

washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/06/08/donald-trump-got-the-most-votes-in-gop-primary-history-a-historic-number-of-people-voted-against-him-too/

Trump got more more votes in a Republican nominating contest than anyone on record.

The previous record for most votes for a Republican in the primaries was held by George W. Bush in 2000. Trump blew that out of the water.

yet trump is one of the most disliked politicians in the history of us politics.. seriously msm got fucked and career politicians got fucked, bu-but racist , bu-but trump-u
bu-butt blasted by the god emperor

The real issue America has is people like Hillary having power. I can understand not liking Trump, there are even some things I don't like about him. But Hillary is a whole other level of bad this country has never seen before.
I'm prepared to go live in the mountains of Vermont for the next decade, I would just like to be able to play the new Zelda for a few weeks. Hopefully she waits at least a year before nuking Russia.

What about the Breitbart polls which have all shown Clinton with a lead?

>people deeply care about my user posts

Retarded billionaire? Thats a first. Im sure you are more successful than Trump because you're not retarded. People talk alot of shit about leafs on here, but you, you've made me rethink that mindset. You go lil buddy.

Obama just spent the last 8 years bypassing congress with executive orders

Our system of checks and balances has completely collapsed

Florida's early voting numbers are already confirming the shy Trump vote exists. He's beating the piss out of her.

Ahh, there it is! The "democracy is dead" excuse that seems to ALWAYS rear it's head in election seasons. So why even vote?

Wut? He is the head of the executive branch. He has every right to tell them what to do.

only because the R's refuse to do anything because it's easier to run for re-election when you can say "I opposed the dems!" and not have to defend any actual voting record.

They're praying they can capture all three branches of government before demographics make it impossible with their current platform.

You have a question with two possible answers, and a group of 100 people who have opinions. 50 have one opinion, 50 the opposite. You don't have time to ask all 100, so you randomly select 10 so there isn't an bias on your part (age, sex, attractiveness, whatever) that might affect the outcome. Because the opinions are evenly split. Every person you interview has a 50% chance of picking either choice. Because of this, your sample of 10 will tend towards 50% each way. There are calculations to find the margin of error (the accuracy basically) but I won't talk about that. Polls aren't perfect because occasionally you'll get unlucky and your sample isn't representative. The chance of this happening is reduced the more people you have.

A FUCKING LEAF

Since she got off the hook, multiple military service members have been given jail time for mishandling classified information in ways similar but honestly less egregious than Hillary did. She received and continues to receive special treatment.

Absolute majority are afraid to show that support on public. You will be at least bullied to hell if you come out as a Trump supporter. But even worse, that you or your property can be physically attacked for your position.

Ever notice how most sjws are rich and educated whites? The irony hasn't hit them.

>Obama just spent the last 8 years bypassing congress with executive orders

Every president has done that.

Reagan did it way more than Obama has, for the record.

TRIVIA QUESTION: Which president issued the most executive orders during their administration? First one to answer correctly without googling wins a free blowjob from Sarah Palin.

I live in the heart of liberal hippie libistan (I found a job here; otherwise, I'd be elsewhere). I finally saw my first Hillary bumper sticker today. I've actually seen more Bush and Reagan stickers than I have for anyone running today. I've seen one yard sign for Bernie still up, but none for Trump or Hillary.

My guess is that Hillary has little active support here. She'll get the default "Just Not Trump" vote, if people bother to vote. She'll have no mandate.

Getting out the Republican vote is going to be more important in this election than usual, because the Democrats are ruled by apathy this time around. It's not like when people actually liked Obama.

Well, first off, many polls come out in a single day. And many polls update periodically. Some once a week, some twice a week, some every other day, some just when they have their data ready to be published.

General election polling doesn't have MUCH weight but it's obvious someone with like a 10 point lead is beating their opponent soundly. State polling is a little better. Grabbing the opinions of 1000 people periodically? Ehh, it's been proven to be fairly representative of trends and the actual voting demographic of states. For in-state elections, they're more accurate.

also makes a good point on random sampling.

Don't look at single polls, look at aggregates or trends. RealClearPolitics makes it easy

pretty sure it was FDR

William Henry Harrison

Winrar.

You have to pay for your own plane ticket to Alaska, I'm afraid.

He also had three and part of a fourth term in office. Those stats really should be given as a ratio of executive orders per year.

We have to stop this Trump fetish before its too late.

...

noone in the U.S. cares about brexit, Nigel

because women are mentally ill sheep

the FBI found nothing legally actionable

The special treatment, you mean like how her e-mails and Benghazi are now more investigated than 9/11 and Watergate? I wonder why that is.

>Why is Hillary still leading over Trump?

Sorry faggot, she's not.

...

That's objectively false. Obama has set the record for the most EOs performed by any President in history and by a large margin.

Literally nobody is voting for Trump here in NYC. People, however, do not seem very enthusiastic about Hillary either.

Most Liberals still have not figured out that they were infiltrated, and now serve the interest of International Corporations not workers or the poor. Those that have don't care as they enjoy having power now.

>the FBI found nothing legally actionable

The FBI said it found nothing legally actionable. Information leaks prove she could have been indicted.

Nice sources and citations.

Here's mine, and I could easily provide more:
dailydot.com/layer8/number-of-executive-orders-per-president/

fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/every-presidents-executive-actions-in-one-chart/

Keep on memeing those memes, though. Someday one of them might come true.

Many people in NYC will vote Trump, they just won't say they will

my guess is that libs outnumber republicans

PAY TO PLAY

At the polls nobody could know who you support unless you go out of your way to make it obvious.

Ehhh, Manhattan was the only county in NYS where Trump was beaten by Kasich, if that's any indication of how universally he's hated.

If Hillary gets elected at the very worst it will be more of the same shit.

If Trump gets elected at the very worst it will be world war, a bankrupt nation and a yuuge "you're fired" to the American people.

I'll admit I like Trump more but I am not ready to gamble my nation and the lives of my children on a reality tv show celebrity with zero political experience.

Commence the cries of shill while ignoring the nimble america news story that is everywhere online but here.

Voices of voters: What is the main reason you support _________ for president?

I really don't have any concerns. She has the background, knowledge, and will support all the people of the USA and make every effort to keep jobs, businesses, and safety for the people in the USA while maintaining a working relationship with foreign countries.
Woman, 66

She's very knowledgeable about foreign affairs and government, and I trust she would do the bes thing for this country. Plus help the economy and making the wealthy pay their fair share in taxes.
Man, 58

people-press.org/files/2016/09/09-21-16-campaign-release.pdf

no one gives a shit about Trump University

>If Trump gets elected at the very worst it will be world war, a bankrupt nation and a yuuge "you're fired" to the American people.
How? Do you actually think Trump is just going to wage war on other countries? Who told you that? How would he bankrupt us?

Thats why republicans like the Alt Right and (((Trump))) are shoving Reagan style amnesty down our throats and busting unions left and right? Its that tyrant Obama's fault because skin pigment?

Checked and,
>no one gives a shit about Trump University
Nah, a lot of people actually do. Not sure if Britbongs have for-profit universities but they're essentially legal scams that prey on returning veterans and poor people who are in turn subsidized by the G.I. Bill and Federal DoE, respectively.

ITT: thorough record correcting

>How would he bankrupt us?

By cutting tax revenue.

>b-but muh trickle down

This user there are plenty of people who will vote for Trump in NYC they dont want to admit it due to being scared of being ridiculed by their liberal peers i seen trump supporters in fucking williamsburg

Even if this were true, it isn't enough to turn it though. Even closet trump supporters aren't enough for the plurality needed to cede the electoral votes in NY.

Found the centrist faggot.

He is cutting taxes because he will cut spending. His tax plan has 0 taxes for low income family and it slowly increases from there how is that trickle down?

Trump is unpredictable and routinely says outrageous things.

Unpredictable foreign policy can be useful, North Korea for example only exists because they act as if they are gladly willing to destroy themselves in a war they can never win.

Unpredictable foreign policy is bad for major powers because their power relies on alliances with other nations. Trumps comments about NATO reduce NATO members confidence in their sovereignty and increase their vulnerability. Increased vulnerability equals opportunity for the expansionists. Expansionist policies equal war.

Trump has many failed ventures. It is impossible to say if he is a skilled businessman or just lucky because he had his fathers financial support his entire life. If he were to fail as president he could easily move to a friendly foreign country with his wealth intact.

Hillary is shit but she is the same shit that brought us to where we are today. America is strong in spite of our presidents, not because of them. The moment we start believing one man can make us great is the moment we lose faith in ourselves and fail as a people.

That being said I really fucking hate mexicans and 100% support his wall idea.

>he will cut spending

By increasing military spending, like he promised to do?

Unless you're willing to cut spending on the Big Three (military, health & human services, and social security), any spending cuts you make are inconsequential.

So a 3% failure rate makes him a questionable business man?

Because Trump is going to lose the presidential election to a women.

That's why.

This is a CTR meme and people need to start recognizing it thanks.

He wanted to make sure defense had enough funding, what he actually said was that he would make sure we have a strong military but cut out wasteful spending. So he actually wants to cut military spending by making sure the money goes to useful stuff and isn't wasted.

His foreign policy isn't that unpredictable. He wants other countries to do more work instead of expecting us to do it all. He also wants to stay out of conflict as much as he can. He isn't trying to start a WWIII.

The whole fucking thread is a shill thread. It's cute they think we can't tell.

>everyone who sees through Trump's bullshit is a Hillary shill

This is definitely my favorite meme.

Are you feeling the Johnson?

>THIS IS WHAT THIS STUPID ASS LEAF ACTUALLY BELIEVES
L O L
youtube.com/watch?v=_T8tMk-ZOx8

Because people are afraid to go poll for trump because of the backlash this election, but trust me, hes going to win

Maybe it's the 100% factual (((polls)))

IQ doesn't mean jack shit today in the west because liberals believe intelligence is a "social construct" unless you follow their beliefs.

A degree from Trump University would still be less fraudulent than a degree in "gender studies" from any other university.

Yeah it's a false dichotomy, but that doesn't matter. This is America.
Trump is winning 8/10 voters. Any poll, person, group, or otherwise saying different is lying, a liar or a parrot. If she 'wins' it's war.

>Trump is winning 8/10 voters
lol

I hate Trump...

Look at her rally turnouts. No one likes her.

The poll support is fake because (((they))) already chose her to be the president.

This.

My dad remembers the days when if someone had a university degree, it meant they were smart. Hell, just being a graduate would be enough for respectable journalists to consider you an expert in the field if a story broke in it.

Nowadays, you can graduate with double degrees with distinction with an actual degree (i.e. not feminist studies) and that won't be enough for an "entry level" job

She out spent trump 50 to 1.... but they will be spending the same amount when it gets close to november 8th... then it will be bye bye hillary.

Also..
some years, the polls aren't accurate, because pollsters don't poll the monster vote. And only certain candidates get the monster vote.... like Reagan, Obama, and Trump. So the race isn't as close as people think.