SOMEBODY ONCE TOLD ME

change it to 'Now-Cast'

It's the now cast not the default polls only you leaf cunt

Click on now-cast dumb leaf

now cast more like lol cast

youtube.com/watch?v=XwhV1ivYNsQ
the feels

THREE NOTHING WRONG WITH ME

Bad news.
Remember what happened last time Trump took the lead prior to a major election event?

The Khan Krash happened.
Get ready for another methodology change.

who looked like a trap

SOMETHINGS GOT TO GIVE
REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

>Get ready for another methodology change.
Their next change :

>we decided to stop polling republican because they're bigots

>the khan krash
Lmao it was actually the "TRUMP IS NOT JUST LITERALLY HITLER BUT IS ALREADY WORSE THAN HITLER" convention

Anyone got that picture of Nate Silver with the JUST hairline?

THERES NO ONE LIKE YOUUU

I CANT WAIT FOR THE NIGHTS WITH YOU

I IMAGINE THE THINGS WE DOOOO

I JUST WANT TO BE LOVED BY YOUUUUUUUUU

THERES NO ONE LIKE YOU
BIG CITY

BIG CITY NIGHTS

YOU KEEP ME BURRRRNING

BIG CITY

BIG CITY NIGHTS

OOOOOHHH OOAAAAHH OUUU YEEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

youtube.com/watch?v=joKcK4D6PGo

...

The Justice Department’s Hillary Investigation Reeks Of Corruption

thefederalist.com/2016/09/23/the-hillary-investigation-reeks-of-corruption/

Clinton’s Complete Lack of a Funny Bone Could Cost Her Monday’s Debate

observer.com/2016/09/clintons-complete-lack-of-a-funny-bone-could-cost-her-mondays-debate/

PAULA JONES Wants to Join GENNIFER FLOWERS in Front Row at Presidential Debate

thegatewaypundit.com/2016/09/paula-jones-want-attend-presidential-debate/

>smashing the NWO with a sledgehammer just to prove one idiot on Twitter wrong

Impressive.

OH SHIT, LADS.

WE'RE GONNA MAKE. WE'RE ALL GONNA FUCKING MAKE IT!

That I had in February of last year

GET UP, COME ON GET DOWN WITH THE SICKNESS
OPEN UP YOUR HATE, AND LET IT FLOW INTO ME
GET UP, COME ON GET DOWN WITH THE SICKNESS
MADNESS IS THE GIFT THAT HAS BEEN GIVEN TO ME

They're not even trying to hide how screwed they are anymore.
It was like 4% a month ago.

I wish the elections were over.

It's not even my fucking country but I don't want to stay erect much longer.

Let's wait until the end of the debates

youtube.com/watch?v=9809N-Fnz3U

A LEAF

the hell is now cast and how is it different or better than the others?

THAT BANE WAS GONNA TROLL ME
I AIN'T THE BIGGEST GUY ON THE PLANE

I TRIED SO HARD
AND GOT SO FAR

Netanyahu matters a lot.

Nowcast assumes the election happens today, so latest polls are more heavily weighted

Polls-only assumes the election is on the actual day, so the latest polls have a smaller impact

polls plus also uses more economic data and other indicators to smooth out the prediction

>Polls aren't rigged now
You guys are pathetic.

I remember when it was 25% for the Don.
Can anyone stop this madman?

This. They're deliberately creating a Clinton underdog narrative so that they can manufacture a huge rebound in the polls after the debate and declare the race over

>pol is 1 person

Hey, dude. I was here in 2012. I remember the poll delusion was real. I never once rang that bell this time around.

WHEN I WAS A YOUNG BOY

He's winning even in the rigged polls, Mohammad.

We're saying that the poll is biased towards Trump.
We're implying that the results would be even higher without the rigging.

im gay

They are always rigged. Even they have finally reached the point that they can no longer hide the truth. Even this poll summary is lying about Trump's margin of victory. Hillary is going to get decimated.

youtube.com/watch?v=2bosouX_d8Y
Today is the beginning of her end

I grew up watching this show. Theme seems more appropriate than ever.

youtube.com/watch?v=JijyXS6Sb30

with the first looming in, we have a few days to shitpost to our fullest before the kikes truly can shut us down.

there are so many of us, so few of them.

HE WAS LOOKING KINDA DUMB WITH A
PENIS IN HIS BUM FROM A
SOMALI GUY NAMED AHMED

Remember this sliding is to make it seem like Hilary won the debate tonight. They will swing the next polls to make it look like she won to matter what. Trump has to dominate tonight to bust up that narrative.

This guy gets it

The polls are just propaganda, never trust them even when they seem to ostensibly favour us

What polls came out to swing it like this?

Who wanna beat he will say something dumb tonight and go back to being behind?
This always happens everytime he has the lead.

BECAUSE HE'S A GOD DAMN BEAST

HE IS A LION

youtube.com/watch?v=NEf5u91AK_8

the more they spin the polls for this witch the less credible they come to be

and when civil war begins, i will focus my life on ending them. nobody will save a dirty pollster.

kek

WELL, THE NIGGS START COMING
AND THEY WONT STOP COMING

EBT IS ALL OUT AND THE NIGGAS ARE HUNGRY

>nate predicts Hillary wins the popular vote but loses the election

Please let this happen. I want to drink salty libshit tears.

I can't wait until the "shocking" results on election night when some of the blue states start turning red and it begins to look like the Reagan map.

"No one could have seen this coming", they will lament.

"We will have to change our polling methodologies after this election" they will prognosticate

"How could we have gotten it so wrong?" they will query.

We all know that they were and are lying about the polling data.

Let's call a spade a spade. These polling companies are attempting to rig an election.

All of these companies must be held to account after the Lord Emperor is elected.

If they were actually rigged, they would make sure Clinton wins them all. There's no point rigging polls if the person you're rigging them for is losing in them still.

Just as expected from Korean Satan

YOU GOT A FAST CAR
I WANT A TICKET TO ANYWHERE

Can't wait for the

"HILLARY COMPLETELY DESTROYED TRUMP AT THE DEBATES: "*cough cough* you're wrong *hack*"

538: 99.9999999% HILLRAY 0.00000001% JEB, TRUMP DROPS OUT (HE LOST)

narrative they will push.

Trump isn't going to win states like Colorado with electronic voting

The rigged polls are a prelude to a rigged election

I WAS LOOKING KINDA DUMB
WITH MY FINGERS AND MY THUMB

This, it fucking happened with brexit. Leave was down by like 3 points in the polls but won by 4.

I thought Hilldawg was +7 last week.

Except your government is even more corrupt than ours

well i thought brexit was rigged and look at where we are now

Stop comparing this to brexit, it's nothing like brexit. Leave and Remain were close throughout the whole thing while Clinton is destroying Trump the majority of the time.

youtube.com/watch?v=cDpI6Zzy-vo

>Cred Forums v CTR on twitter tonight

decimate (v.): to remove one tenth of something

Governments don't run the polls, journalists do.

Hahaha nice try increasingly nervous man

BUT IN THE END IT DOESN'T EVEN MATTER

You're the one shitting youself. Don't cry too hard after the debages.

Some polls have had clear evidence of bias methodology, typically by under-sampling independents or basing turnout demographics and enthusiasm on 2012 numbers.

As far a we know they aren't flat out making the numbers up.

As long as that is the case, there is only so much they can do to "adjust" the polls in Hillary's favor.

...

...

HE'S HOPPING HOPPING

The polling companies were still lying about the data to try to demoralize the leave supporters.

What about the polls that over-sample republicans? Does that mean Trump are rigging those ones?

Amstrad BTFO once again.

No, they weren't. Not all polls are rigged in favour of the thing you don't support. And saying they're rigged just makes you look like a pathetic loser.

american education, everybody

THE GRASS WAS MUCH GREENER ON THE OTHER SIDE

10/10

Hmm Trump and Clinton tied in PA. After Trump wins the debate, PA will be Red.

>projecting this hard

IT STARTS WITH ONE THING

As much as the media hugs the nuts of these percentages, overall national percentage means abso-fucking-lutely nothing.
As I said when Shitlery was in the lead what matters is where Emperor Trump and her stand in battleground states.

THAT THERE IS A LAND OF THE FREE
WHERE RIVERS ARE MADE
FROM THE TEARS OF THE TYRANTS

>Michigan turning red
>PA turning red

What the fuck is happening?

>Sen. Clinton I'm MAGA

>yfw when Trump right now

Neither Clinton or Trump are personally rigging polls. It's also unlikely their campaigns are directly involved.

However pollsters have their own biases and sometimes that effects their work. Any poll that is oversampling or otherwise flawed should be treated as such.

IN THE SHAPE OF A HOOK ON MY BELT LOOPS

I PUSH MY FINGERS INTO MY

One last hope for the Drumpfkins before Hillary destroys Deplorable Donald tonight.

PA has been red since Clinton told the coal industry to go fuck itself with a rake

>mfw the civil war that results when king nigger declares martial law to postpone the election

youtu.be/Xi5vfipPVeI

Why does the map show him losing?
If those were the actual results Hillary would win..

such empty words from a defeated shill. :^)

NO THIS CANT BE HAPPENING

I know it's a doggy dog world but polls like this really are a diamond dozen

AND AS I LIVE
THERE IS NO EVIL THAT WILL STAND

EVEN CTR HAS NO COMEBACK HAHAHAHAHAHA

SHILLS ON SUICIDE WATCH

>Pennsylvanie is red

It's rare, isn't it ?

>stop polling republicans
>trump remains in the lead
what's next?

Polling mexican citizens

I PUT MY TRUST IN YOU!

polling illegals
polling dead people

>Trump is actually going to be president

I mean, I've been waiting for this moment for over a year but I just can't believe we actually shitpost so hard that a cartoon frog propelled a reality TV star into the White House.

I hear the rigormortis vote leans heavily Democrat.

I'M IN CHARGE HERE

It's a probabilistic model, the states hillary are winnning are closer than the ones trump are, so even though Trump has a higher total win %, the map looks precariously hillary

bring in all the lepurs

they'll be polled, too!

I'VE GOT POTENTIAL

DIDNT MAKE SENSE NOT TO LIVE FOR FUN

Bantugal

It's not confidential

PRAISE KEK

Guess im #cucked4her now

americunt tries to use google, fails. more @ 11

The basement dwellers and the home owners, the NEETS and the career professionals, the high school graduates and graduate students, the Wizards and the chads, the straight fags and the gayfags, the richfags and the poorfags of Cred Forums all joined together in common cause to shape history.

MAGA
Praise Kek

CALM DOWN HILLARY'S DOCTOR, NOW'S NOT THE TIME FOR FEAR
THAT COMES LATER

HAVE WE STARTED A FIRE?

YES, THE FIRE RISES

TRUMP

The problem with Brexit is that all of the "experts" ignored the polling data and maintained that Leave didn't have a chance when in reality it had taken a firm lead in the couple of weeks before the referendum

Any links to polls you guys are looking into?

should we be worried?

Trump tweets are the best tweets

This.

They are having trump peak right before the debate and then will crash him to get people to think hillary won the debate

Rule one of cheating.
Don't make it obvious you're cheating.

Source?
MAGA

SHE WAS A FAST MACHINE

Yes and no. Hillary will win by underhanded means. Trumpets should be more worried about taking the streets on the 9th

nate bronze

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

Nobody ever told you that sven

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

the 'now-cast' option

I've got potential

MASH ALLAH

HEARTACHES BY THE NUMBER

Kek

EEEEEEEEYEEESS

Do you honestly, seriously believe Donald will be able to debate with an actual intelligent politician? He barely knows how to form a complete sentance.

I know right? Drumpf is literally hitler.

Whatever leaf. Guess it takes no effort to become a billionaire and write a best selling book.
Clinton can't even stand up on her own in mild weather.

Uh, you do realize both of them have written best selling books too?

AND THEY DON'T STOP COMIN'
AND THEY DON'T STOP COMIN'
AND THEY DON'T STOP COMIN'
AND THEY DON'T STOP COMIN'
AND THEY DON'T STOP COMIN'
AND THEY DON'T STOP COMIN'

I agree this will be trouble for him.

The Republican primaries showed he's not very quick on his feet and relies entirely on scripted speeches.

AND THEY WONT STOP COMING
AND THEY WONT STOP COMING
AND THEY WONT STOP COMING
AND THEY WONT STOP COMING
AND THEY WONT STOP COMING

MY FATHER TOOK ME INTO THE CITY
TO SEE THE DEBATES

...

This line is underrated in these terms.

what the fuck is this?

surely these are just for those counties and not the entire state?

what is most important is that they polls-plus, which is code for (((skype))) skewing has donald trump much better than he has ever been before. even when they skew for clinton they are worried

HE DOESN'T LOOK AT ALL LIKE JESUS
BUT....

Hearty kek

>HE DOESN'T LOOK AT ALL LIKE JESUS

At least get the lyrics right... holy shit man.

I DONT BELIEVE THAT ANYBODY FEELS THE WAY I DO ABOUT YOU NOW.

>(((Steinberg)))

...

wew

SOMEBODY ONCE TOLD ME THAT TRUMP WAS GONNA KEK ME
I AINT THE BIGGEST ONE IN THE POLLS
HE WAS LOOKING PRESIDENTIAL, STANDING 6 INCHES TALLER
THAN ME, PLEASE VOTE FOR MY HOLES

WELL THE POLLS START COMIN AND THEY DONT STOP COMIN
LOST THE DEBATES AND I HIT THE GROUND OFTEN
DIDNT MAKE SENSE NOT TO SERVE THE KIKES
YOUR FUNDS GET SMALLER AND YOUR STAFF SAYS YIKES
SO MANY LIES, SO MANY MEMES
SO WHATS WRONG WITH DELETING MY EMAILS
YOU'LL NEVER KNOW IF YOU DON'T VOTE
YOU'LL NEVER LOSE IF YOU DON'T CHOKE

HEY NOW, YOU'RE A VOTER, GET TO THE FUCKING POLLS
HEY NOW, YOU'RE MY DEMO', PLEASE OH GOD PLEASE VOTE
AND ALL THAT I SAY IS TOLD
BY DONATIONS FROM THE SACHS AND GOLD

ITS A DARK PLACE AND THEY SAY IT GETS DARKER
YOU'RE A WHITE HOOD NOW WAIT TILL WE GET OUR MARKER
BUT THE ALT RIGHT BEG TO DIFFER
BY ALL THE SMUG FROGS IN THIS PICTURE
MY POLL MARGIN IS GETTING PRETTY THIN
LOOKING LIKE TRUMP IS ACTUALLY GONNA WIN
MY WORLD'S COLLAPSING HOW ABOUT YOURS?
I FUCKING IT HATE IT EVEN THOUGH I SNORE

HEY NOW, YOU'RE A VOTER, GET TO THE FUCKING POLLS
HEY NOW, YOU'RE MY DEMO', PLEASE OH GOD PLEASE VOTE
AND ALL THAT I SAY IS TOLD
BY DONATIONS FROM THE SACHS AND GOLD

SOMBODY ONCE ASKED IF I COULD SPARE SOME DELEGATES
I NEED TO GET AWAY FROM THIS PLACE
YEP WHAT A CONCEPT
I COULD USE DELEGATES MYSELF
AND WE COILD ALL USE SOME VOTES

WELL THE POLLS START COMIN AND THEY DONT STOP COMIN
LOST THE DEBATES AND I HIT THE GROUND OFTEN
DIDNT MAKE SENSE NOT TO SERVE THE KIKES
YOUR FUNDS GET SMALLER AND YOUR STAFF SAYS YIKES
SO MANY LIES, SO MANY MEMES
SO WHATS WRONG WITH DELETING MY EMAILS
YOU'LL NEVER KNOW IF YOU DON'T VOTE
YOU'LL NEVER LOSE IF YOU DON'T CHOKE

HEY NOW, YOU'RE A VOTER, GET TO THE FUCKING POLLS
HEY NOW, YOU'RE MY DEMO', PLEASE OH GOD PLEASE VOTE
AND ALL THAT I SAY IS TOLD
BY DONATIONS FROM THE SACHS AND GOLD

AND ALL THAT I SAY IS TOLD
BY DONATIONS FROM THE SACHS AND GOLD

10/10

Those were convention bounces before. This has been steadily trending to Trump for more than a month now.

They will just change the way they are doing and counting polls.. again..

Like that will change reality..

Amazing

UP ANOTHER .4% GUYS
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now
IT'S HAPPENING!!!!!!!!!!!!!
100% GUARANTEE TRUMP WINS!!!!

DELET THIS

This is just beginning of the bullshit they're gonna pull. Give him slight lead, debate, no matter what happens "o wow, hillary strong. hillary win that", polls show trump numbers sink, "o wow, haha, trump btfo, see". Same bias polls as always.

This.

The polls are STILL rigged toward Clinton, they just can't even rig them enough to offset reality anymore.

Sad.

...

Goddamn

...

but we dont have electronic voting machines

I left in April after the crash and am just coming back to Cred Forums now for the debate, I totally abstained from the election and the news media

What the hell happened?

electronic machines are still a fair rarity here in the US.
In my state we still use pen and paper, hell we just now adopted early voting (not that it matters it's guaranteed to go dem)

Not April, I mean August - the post convention crash

I KNOW
I KNOW I'VE LET YOU DOWN

sick Hillary

What was she bedridden?

BANTURUUUUUUU

fainted at a 9/11 event and had to be carried into an unmarked ambulance.

It's funny because it's true.

RUSSIAN HACKERS GONNA HACK YOU DOWN

dispel.tech/images?t=nate_silver JUST

>It's amazing we got this game of golf in before Christmas, right Sugar?
>Yeah, we have the whole course to ourselves.
>What's our handicap right now?
>462.